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What did you think the probability of winning the car was, before you watched the video? . How can you use probability and probability rules in arriving at the answer? What probability ideas does this demonstrate and use?

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MODULE 3: PROBABILITY PROJECT

The purpose of this Probability Project is to show your understanding of what you have learned in Module 3. You will watch a video and apply the appropriate probability concepts from this module. You will discuss your !earnings in a 2-page paper as outlined below.
Instructions
This is a fun assignment to do. In chapter 5 you learned about basic probability and learned about conditional probability. Now, you get to see these two in action. You may have heard of the TV game: “Let’s Make a Deal,” where at the end of the show, contestants are presented with 3 doors and they are informed that behind one of the doors is a brand-new car. So, the contestant chooses one of three doors. Then the game show host (First one was Monty Hall), opens a door and reveals a goat. Then Monty asks if the contestant wants to switch or not. So, the question is, what is the probability of winning? Should I stay, or should I switch? What would you do?
Imagine that the set of Monty Hall’s game show Let’s Make a Deal has three closed doors. Behind one of these doors is a car; behind the other two are goats. The contestant does not know where the car is, but Monty Hall does. The contestant picks a door and Monty opens one of the remaining doors, one he knows doesn’t hide the car. If the contestant has already chosen the correct door, Monty is equally likely to open either of the two remaining doors. After Monty has shown a goat behind the door that he opens, the contestant is always given the option to switch doors. What is the probability of winning the car if she stays with her first choice? What if she decides to switch? Think about what you think the answer is: stay or switch?
1. Watch a TEDEd video that explains the problem: “Should I stay or should I switch doors?”
2. Write a paper that includes:
a. What did you think the probability of winning the car was, before you watched the video? (3 points)
b. Information from the video what the answer really is (3 points)
c. How can you use probability and probability rules in arriving at the answer? What probability ideas does this demonstrate and use? Explain and give examples. You may use other sources as well but make sure to cite them (you may want to watch the extended version of the video if you are not sure, watch the Monty Hall Problem video. (15 points)
d. Are you surprised by the answer to the question “stay or switch”? Does it make sense? (3 points)
e. 2 pages long, using size 12 font, double spaced, cover page, references included. (3 points) References Should I stay or should I switch doors? (n.d.). Retrieved from https://ed.ted.com/featured/PWb09pny

What is the difference between economic, social and cultural capital? How do they interact to produce socioeconomic class?

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Difference Matters

What is the difference between economic, social and cultural capital? How do they interact to produce socioeconomic class?

Create a work place resource to support vulnerable families to include an instructive, “easy read” 1000 word document of possible challenges faced by an identified group of vulnerable families, and the impact this might have on the children/ young people in the family (with reference list).

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Vulnerable Families

create a work place resource to support vulnerable families to include:
1 An instructive, “easy read” 1000 word document of possible challenges faced by an identified group of vulnerable families, and the impact this might have on the children/ young people in the family (with reference list).

2 A directory of local agencies / services that practitioners could signpost vulnerable families to for appropriate support. To be located in region of country you are planning to work.

3 A list of training providers / training courses available for teachers and other practitioners that could support their continued professional learning in working with vulnerable families. Again, this should be located in the area where you plan to work or be accessible within a few hours of travel.

4 An action plan template designed to provide information that could be shared across agencies that work with vulnerable families.

What are some questions you should ask during your SWOT analysis? How long should this list be?

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The SWOT analysis

The SWOT analysis is used to help determine if your organization is on the right track to or if things need to be changed to get the organization back on track. What are some questions you should ask during your SWOT analysis? How long should this list be?

How should Julia construct an advertisement for the job? How can she ensure that the ad attracts well-qualified candidates? What principles should she be mindful of?

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Midterm Exam

This exam includes four sections featuring open-ended written questions. These questions ask you to apply your knowledge of human resource management systems in practical, realistic contexts. Your goal in this exam should be to demonstrate your ability to take an informed and thoughtful approach to human resource decisions. Please separate your answers to each assignment question by using headers.
1. Strategic HRM and Job Design
You are providing human resource management consulting to a client in Albany. Your client is Julia, owner of a dry cleaning business in downtown Albany, Julia’s Dry Cleaning. The company does dry cleaning, pressing and tailoring for walk-in customers and processes all uniforms for several security firms in the area. The company currently has 14 employees and is beginning to plan for expansion. Julia knows her sales have grown 15% over the last year. She hopes to continue at this rate. She has asked for your help with planning. She thinks she needs an assistant to help with office tasks, but she might also need someone to handle overflow at the walk-in counter.
1. What questions should you ask her to help determine the kind of human resources she really needs?
2. Assuming she’s sure she wants an administrative assistant, how would you go about determining what this person’s job would consist of? How should you identify the knowledge, skills, abilities, and other characteristics needed for this position?
3. What steps could be taken to ensure this job is appealing and engaging for the employee?
2. Recruitment
Julia is ready to hire that administrative assistant and needs help with a recruitment plan.
1 Where would you suggest she go to do her recruiting? Identify five appropriate sources and describe the advantages and disadvantages of each for this client.
2 How should Julia construct an advertisement for the job? How can she ensure that the ad attracts well-qualified candidates? What principles should she be mindful of?
3. Selection
Julia needs help with preparing a process for selection and interviewing.
1 Assuming that Julia has a large number of applications, how should Julia narrow the list of candidates and decide who to interview? What do you think she should focus on?
2 Create an interview procedure for Julia. Assume that she will be the one doing the interview. What process should she use? What kind of questions should she ask?
3 What steps should Julia take to minimize bias during selection? What advice would you give her in order to avoid legal liability and ensure an ethical selection process?
4. Training & Onboarding
Julia would like your help to create an orientation procedure for this new employee.
1 What types of things might the employee need to learn about this company and this job?
2 Using what you’ve learned about onboarding, put together a sample orientation program for Julia. Pay attention to how people learn. We want this to be a productive experience both for the new employee and for the organization as a whole, so think strategically…(is it sufficient to offer coffee and donuts along with required forms to fill out? What should orientation really accomplish?)

Who is it a problem for? Why is a change necessary? What is needed to make the change? What would the change involve?

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leadership issue or problem

Identify a current or ongoing leadership issue or problem that you have experienced or observed in the educational world; this should be a real problem.

1. Based on the problem identified above, identify changes that you would make to leadership to address the problem. Provide the following:
1. Title
2. Context of the site: type of organization, level, categories, subjects, responses to need, background notes we need to know for why you are recommending this leadership change or decision.
3. Who is it a problem for? Teachers, parents, schools, districts, the public, etc.
4. Why is a change necessary? Goals and aims: intentions, objectives of the leadership project- theme
5. What is needed to make the change? Human resources, equipment, materials needed in order to carry out the leadership change.
6. What would the change involve? (e.g., design, development, implementation, evaluation (formative, summative, participant involvement in evaluation), timeline/schedule?)
7. Possible significance, challenges, and benefits of the change.
8. Potential allies or groups with similar interests in solving this problem

Write an essay addressing your integrated theory of leadership, drawing from your theology and your leadership theory understanding.

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Theological Perspective in Leadership

This assignment will consist of a brief, 3-4 pages, double-spaced APA-style (title page, abstract, references count extra) paper in which you reflect upon your values and beliefs regarding the way you address:
your integrated theory of leadership, drawing from your theology and your leadership theory understanding.

Elkington argues that in that same decision-making process, the people gathered need to ask, Should we make and sell this at all? Can we make and sell this in a way that is good for the people doing the making? What impact will this have on our community?

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Assignment 1

The 20th century saw a burst of business growth. As the century progressed, the need to attend to the impact of business on people and on the environment became impossible to ignore. In 1994, a British man named John Elkington coined the phrase “triple bottom line” (TBL) as a memorable way of encouraging business leaders to pay more attention to the impact of their operations on people and the planet. “Triple bottom line” thinking is not anti-profit. As a business philosophy, it takes into account the fact that business cannot continue without a profit. When the expenses exceed the income, someone has to make up the difference. Always. Instead, Elkington simply argued that when you are making decisions and paying attention to the likely impact on the bottom line, you should also pay some attention to the likely
impact on people and planet. For any new product or service, it is essential to ask, Can we make and sell this profitably? Elkington argues that in that same decision-making process, the people gathered need to ask, Should we make and sell this at all? Can we make and sell this in a way that is good for the people doing the making? What impact will this have on our community? What impact will this have on the environment? The goal is not to stop business as a means of organizing resources and people to meet human needs. The goal is to raise the bar on how we do business to make sure
everything we choose to do, and every system of operations created, is not only profitable, but also beneficial to people and planet. Change is hard. And once a business is built around harmful practices, it can be quite difficult to change all the systems, procedures, and processes that enable the business to operate profitably. But consider the alternative: to continue operating in the normal way despite it causing irreversible harm to people and planet. That’s really not an option once you know there’s a viable solution. The good news is that it is entirely possible to operate profitable businesses in ways that empower people and build up communities. Many companies have proved that we can change our ways of operating businesses to reduce environmental harm and, at our best, play a restorative role in the world around us. In the 25 years since John Elkington first penned the phrase “triple bottom line,” the business world has been revolutionized. Today, nearly every Fortune 500 company has a webpage on sustainability or social responsibility. The change is not complete, but the past two decades are full of success stories of leaders who have found that considering people and planet doesn’t prevent profit so much as it encourages innovation and creative thinking that is essential to ensuring that businesses generate value even more broadly. It’s difficult to know what the next 25 years of business will bring. But given the precarious state of our society and environment, it’s essential that businesses continue to serve all three components of the triple bottom line.

Multiple-Choice Question

What is the ideal result of adopting the “triple bottom line” perspective?

Write a book report about Tom Sawyer in paragraph form. Paragraph 1- exposition, Paragraph 2- rising action, Paragraph 3- Climax, Paragraph 4- Falling action, Paragraph 5- Resolution.

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Tom Sawyer

2) Write a book report about Tom Sawyer in paragraph form. Paragraph 1- exposition, Paragraph 2- rising action, Paragraph 3- Climax, Paragraph 4- Falling action, Paragraph 5- Resolution. Each paragraph should have at least 5 sentences (but may have more). Use correct grammar, punctuation, spelling, etc.

What is the general purpose of the sensory nervous system and the specific purpose of the auditory system? What are the environmental factors that might have prevented Grandpa Carl from hearing Grandma Marie?

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Hearing loss case study

Carla Marie Jackson, a first semester graduate student in Audiology, was having difficulty staying awake in her early afternoon class. “I knew I shouldn’t have eaten such a big lunch,” she thought to herself as her head jerked up for the third time in the past 15 minutes. She glanced at the clock and groaned when she realized 45 minutes still remained in the period—Professor Wilson would take every bit of that, plus more! Her mind began to drift to the upcoming spring break that would begin next week, when suddenly something Professor Wilson said took her back to an experience she had while visiting her grandparents the previous Christmas.
Carla was named for her maternal grandparents, Carl and Marie Wojahowski. She loved them both dearly even though there couldn’t have been two more different people in the world. Grandpa Carl was a calm and loving man who spent his working career as an auto mechanic in the small northeastern Wisconsin town of Marinette. Grandma Marie was a 5-foot-1-inch ball of fire with a high-pitched shrill voice who always wanted to accomplish more than was physically possible in a day. Te only time she relaxed was when she slept. Grandma and Grandpa lived eight miles west of town in a two-story house with a wrap-around porch on a 160-acre farm. Carla’s mother, Kathy, the youngest of Carl and Marie’s six children, had married Bob Jackson, who she met in college, and they had raised their family  hours away in St. Louis. Carla was the oldest of their five children.
Many of Carla’s favorite childhood memories were of times she spent on the farm in the summers and at Christmas. She loved sitting on the porch with Grandpa Carl and working with him in his garden and orchard. He had tremendous patience with her as he showed her how to till the soil and care for the plants. She also loved working with Grandma Marie in the kitchen, although the pace and intensity was much greater than working with Grandpa in the yard. Preparing Christmas dinners was hectic as Grandma barked orders for six hours. Everything had to be perfect and if she did something wrong Grandma was “on her case” immediately. Carla smiled to herself when Grandma’s shrill voice cut the air, “Didn’t I tell you to cut those potatoes a quarter inch thick!” Grandma always meant well. She just got too excited, Carla always reminded herself. Besides, Grandma didn’t yell at her nearly as much as she yelled at Grandpa.
Professor Wilson now had Carla’s attention as he discussed age related problems affecting the auditory system. Carla thought back to a specific event the previous Christmas as she and her Mom prepared dinner under the watchful eye of Grandma Marie while Grandpa Carl and her Dad sat in the living room watching the Green Bay Packers play the Chicago Bears on tv. Carla almost laughed out loud in class as she remembered the situation.
Questions
1. What is the general purpose of the sensory nervous system and the specific purpose of the auditory system?
2. Trace the path of sound from the outer ear to interpretation by the brain, detailing what happens at each step in the pathway.
3. What are the environmental factors that might have prevented Grandpa Carl from hearing Grandma Marie?
4. Why was Bob able to hear Grandma Marie when Grandpa Carl could not.